2011 Predictions

	Carrie		Dave		Dan		Ken		Eric		Rich
Gold	1,420		1,710		1,470		1,700		1,500		1,500
Silver	32		42		38		25		32
DJIA	12,000		12,400		12,650		9,000		11,500		9,500
S&P			1,420		1,330		950				1,150
Nasdaq			2,900		2,900		1,500		2,650
Oil - Brent Crude			130		122		110		80
Bank Failures	187		98		142		140				200
CPI inflation			7		6		9
Unemployment	7		9		9		7

                            

	Alltime High		12/31/10
Gold	1,442.60		1,420.85
Silver	49.45		30.91
DJIA	14,279.96		11,577.51
S&P	1,576.09		1,257.64
Nasdaq	5,132.52		2,652.87
Oil - Brent Crude	147.27		93.31

CARRIE
                           
"This year I will beat everyone, and even DW will have to admit that he was beaten by a girl... and not only that, but a Justin Bieber fan!"
                           
Dow - low 10000 // high 14500 //  end 12,000
Gold - falls in first quarter to 1265 // summer 1475 // end 1420
Silver - 32
Bank failures - 187   
Unemployment (government-reported value) - 7%           
Housing - falls to new lows
Detroit schools - they fail to take DW's suggestions and they suffer the consequences   
DAAG solves the problem of property rights and becomes world-famous. Carrie abhors being a celebrity and uses her new-found riches to buy a secluded forest in mid-Michigan.

                                                           
DAN
                           
Gold           1470       
Silver            38   
Dow          12650   
S&P            1330       
Nasdaq        2900       
Oil               122           
Bank Failures  142       
Inflation (CPI)   6%
Unemployment  9.2%       
DAAG Becomes a temporary political party. Wins every election; then disbands the government... The result? Everyone is SUPER happy and wants to live in the former USA. They end up calling it Real Utopia of America.


DAVE
                           
Dow: high 13,500  low 10000s           
S&P: high 1450   low in 1000s           
Gold will correct to around $1200 during the year
Japanese stocks will do well this decade
Natural gas will do well in 2011
Interest rates will increase.  US Treasurys will drop.
Detroit will declare bankruptcy   
Housing will offer good buys
Euro tanks   


ERIC
                           
Gold $1500, Silver $32, Oil $80  Euro at 1.10
Dow 11500 and Nasdaq 2650
I expect a general asset correction in next month or two in gold but especially industrial commodities.  China slow down keeps oil low.
US equity markets fall in 2011 but still out perform on a relative basis most other countries with possible exception of Japan.


KEN
                           
Bank closings: 140
Gold: $1700/toz
Silver: $25/toz
Oil: $110, but will reach $135 during the year.
U-3 unemployment: 7%
U-6: 17%
                           
IF: CPI-U (includes all items) stays < 5%
DOW: 13,000
SP500: 1400
NASDAQ: 3000
                           
CPI-U will reach 9% this year.  The Fed will stop pumping.
                           
DOW: 9,000
SP500: 950
NASDAQ: 1500


RICHARD
                           
Dow     9500
Russel   650
S&P     1150
Gold     1500
Bank Failures   200
Stagflation


1/3/11 Jim Cramer "I predict Alcoa will be the best performer in the S&P 500 in 2011."
I'd like to add to my predictions that Alcoa's stock (N:AA) will not have a good year.